Sullivan says threat of Russian military invasion of Ukraine ‘high’

White House National Security Advisor Jake sullivanJake SullivanSullivan says threat of Russian military invasion is “high” Apple and Amazon executives will meet with the White House to discuss software security. said Thursday that the threat of a Russian military invasion of Ukraine was “high” and stressed that the United States and its European allies are prepared for “any eventuality.”

Sullivan called the talks involving the United States, NATO and Russia over the past week “frank and direct,” but said there had been no agreement between U.S. officials and Russian for more meetings or discussions. He said the United States would consult with its allies before determining next steps.

“We will now reflect and consult with our allies and partners on how to proceed,” Sullivan said. “We are ready to continue diplomacy to advance security and stability in the Euro-Atlantic area. We are also prepared if Russia chooses a different path.

The Biden administration has warned of international sanctions against Russia if the Russian president Vladimir PoutineVladimir Vladimirovich Putin Sullivan says threat of Russian military invasion is “high” decide to organize a military invasion of Ukraine, and said the United States will strengthen its presence on NATO’s eastern flank and send additional security assistance to Ukraine in the event of an invasion.

Sullivan said Thursday that the U.S. intelligence community has yet to assess Putin’s resolve to launch a military invasion of Ukraine, but said the Biden administration was clear-sighted about the threat given the few 100,000 Russian soldiers amassed at the Ukrainian border. .

“The threat of a military invasion is certain to be high,” Sullivan said. “There is no illusion on the part of those of us who have dealt with this issue on the prospects of potential conflict and potential military escalation by Russia. ”

“The United States and its European allies and partners are prepared for multiple eventualities,” he added.

US officials have just completed four days of talks with the Russians and NATO allies in Europe during which they tried to avoid a military conflict in Ukraine. Assistant Secretary of State Wendy Sherman led talks for the Biden administration.

There were no major breakthroughs in the talks, but U.S. officials have offered to work with Russia on reciprocal agreements to restrict missile placement and limit the size and scope of military exercises.

At the same time, the United States has strongly rejected Russia’s desire to limit NATO expansion so that it does not include Ukraine.

“We will not allow anyone to close the open door to NATO policy,” Sherman said Monday after the special session of the Strategic Stability Dialogue with Russia.

Meanwhile, there is growing concern about a Russian invasion on par with Putin’s invasion and annexation of Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula.

After the conclusion of the third diplomatic meeting on Thursday, Michael Carpenter, the US Ambassador to the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), warned of a pressing threat of war as the Russians carry out live fire exercises near Ukraine.

“We are facing a European security crisis. The drumbeat of war is ringing loud and the rhetoric has become rather shrill, ”Carpenter told reporters.

Evelyn Farkas, who served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Russia, Ukraine and Eurasia during the Obama administration, estimated that there is more than a 50% chance that Putin will invade Ukraine.

“I find it hard to believe that he will come back from the brink because he hasn’t gotten anything fundamental from us,” she said.

Farkas urged the United States to do more to rally the international community to preparations for a war between Russia and Ukraine, arguing that such an effort is needed to push Russia back.

Sullivan reiterated Thursday that any progress with the Russians should take place in a “de-escalation environment”, reiterating a call for Russia to withdraw its troops from the border with Ukraine.

“While I’m here today, I can’t tell you what the next steps will be,” Sullivan said. “I can only tell you that the United States, the Biden administration, our allies and partners, we are prepared for whatever comes.”

–Update at 4:56 p.m.

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