Super Saturday in Round 7 of the AFL continues from the MCG at 4:35 pm as the Demons take on the Hawks in what should be an interesting clash. Check out our preview and betting tips for the game below.
Remember to go to our AFL Tips page for betting tips on each game during Round 7 of the season.
Melbourne vs Hawthorn Betting Tips
MCG, Saturday April 30, 16:35 (AEST)
Ins: Jack Viney, Jake Lever, Tom McDonald
Departures: Harrison Petty, Kysaiah Pickett, Luke Jackson, Tom Sparrow
What an embarrassment of riches they have in Melbourne at the moment. A small wave of COVID has rocked their squad over the past week, forcing Petty, Pickett, Jackson and Sparrow to follow health and safety protocol. Coming into the side are three top players in Jack Viney, Jake Lever and Tom McDonald.
The Devils train continued to roll in Round 6 as they defeated the Tigers by 22 points. The Tigers were competitive at times in the first half, but MElbourne blew them out of the water after the main break, kicking five goals to two in the third quarter to take the game.
His depth will be on full display this week when Viney, McDonald and Lever return to the sidelines. They look unbeatable right now and something shocking would have to happen for that to change on Saturday.
Tickets: Jackson Callow, Lachlan Bramble
Departures: Denver Grainger-Barras, Harry Morrison, Josh Ward
Young Jackson Callow will make his debut this week, while Harry Morrison is out injured. Overall, though, the Hawks remain pretty much the same.
The best of the Hawks have looked great this season and the worst have looked awful. They play such an aggressive style of football that if it doesn’t work at night, they have shown that they can be completely exposed. They already have good wins over the Hawks, Power and Cats, but the Saints and Swans have crushed them by an average of 55 points.
Mitch Lewis has taken his game to the next level so far this season, scoring 15 goals in six games so far, but he lacks help up front, with Luke Breust and Jack Gunston slightly out of form at the moment.
It’s hard to look past the Dees train to keep rolling here. Until they put a false foot, I will continue to support them. With the level this Melbourne defense is playing at the moment combined with the Hawks’ propensity to be exposed on the fast break, I think there’s a chance this could turn ugly for Hawthorn.
I think a small bet on Melbourne to win this one by 40+ is the game here.
$2.55 (1 Unit)
In six of Melbourne’s last seven games at the MCG, the fourth highest scorer has been third. They stormed out after the main break last week against the Tigers. I think the third one offers good odds at $3.20.
Highest Scoring QTR: 3rd ($3.30 at Ladbrokes)
I am waiting with bated breath for Sam Weidemann to have that breakout game that confirms his place on the Devils side. He has been dangerous in the four games he has played this season, kicking eight goals. He has already kicked the most goals in two of those games, so the $12 odds for him to do so on Saturday are attractive.
Sam Weidemann Most Goals ($12 at Ladbrokes)