Gold Coast got their season back on track last week with an upset victory over Sydney in the SCG, while Fremantle continued their stunning start to the season with a resounding win over North Melbourne.
With both sides having top eight aspirations, this promises to be a high-pressure contest.
Remember, Before You Bet will preview every game of the 2022 AFL season, so be sure to check out our AFL Tips page for regular updates.
Gold Coast vs Fremantle Betting Tips
SCG, Sunday 15the May, 13:40 (AEST)
Injuries: Josh Corbett, Ben King, Jack Lukosius (out), Bodhi Uwland
Ben King and Jack Lukosius are big absentees, however aside from them, Gold Coast has a relatively healthy roster. Noah Anderson returns this week after it was a late omission against the Swans.
The Suns ended a three-game losing streak with a gutsy win over Sydney on the road. Gold Coast was very impressive, showing what they are capable of in their day. However, consistency is key for the young team, so this weekend’s game against Fremantle couldn’t be more important. Stuart Dew’s team remains a legitimate chance for the finals, led by the midfield of Jarrod Witts, Matt Rowell, Touk Miller and Noah Anderson.
Injuries: Sam Switkowski (out), Nathan O’Driscoll (out), Nat Fyfe, Joel Hamling, Matthew Johnson, Matt Taberner, Joel Western
Big names Fyfe and Taberner are still missing, which begs the question of how good Freo can be when they have a full team to choose from.
Fremantle are having their best season in years and showing that they have the plan to beat the best. A beating of the Kangaroos last week also showed that the Dockers can be ruthless and score quickly when needed. Andrew Brayshaw has developed into a top midfielder this year, while youngsters Heath Chapman, Hayden Young, Caleb Serong and company. they are exceeding expectations. A trip to the Gold Coast won’t intimidate Freo, so it’s a question of whether they can bring his trademark defensive flair.
This game is a head versus heart equation for me. The logical move is a win for Fremantle, given their reliable form and style of play.
However, Gold Coast will have gained some confidence after last week’s win and will enjoy playing in front of the home crowd.
In addition, the Suns have won two of the last three meetings between these teams, both games played at home.
As such, I’m going to give a surprise in this case. Gold Coast to win.
Gold Coast 1-39
$2.85 (1 unit)
Ellis has had 26 touches in each of his last two games and has a solid record against Fremantle. The former Richmond man is apparently benefiting from the continuity in his game, avoiding injuries so far this season.
Brandon Ellis 25+ Disposals ($2.50 at TAB)
The Suns have given running backs a lot of leeway this year and Young is someone who should benefit from that on Sunday. He has had more than 20 disposals in four of his six games this year.
Hayden Young Eliminations 20+ ($1.75 at TAB)